The Joseph Initiative Foundation based in the United States of America conducted a research and survey to know which political party and Presidential Candidate the people will be voting for on Saturday 24th June 2023 Presidential, Parliamentary and Local Council elections in Sierra Leone. The survey and research commenced from December 17th 2022 and ended on March 12th 2023.
The objective of the survey was to sound the views of the electorates which party they will be voting for and why. The survey targeted first time voters.
The Foundation has a keen partnership and concern with the politics in Sierra Leone. After collecting national election voter’s statistics geographically, we realized that there has been a significant change in the (16) ethnic groups in the country.
The survey revealed that the change has yielded analyses on the predictions of the Sierra Leone People’s Party (SLPP).
Based on the data collected, there are strong predictions that the SLPP Is going to win the June 24, 2023, Presidential, Parliamentary and Local Council elections during the first ballot.
The predicted turnout between first time voters including students, transfer voters, and returning voters are all in massive favor of the SLPP, with no runoff. The electorates commended the SLPP and President Bio for his Human Capital Development project which has seen an increase in the enrollment of pupils in the various schools nationwide. They told the team that they were very impressed with the fight against corruption which resulted to the recovery of over thirty billion Leones from corrupt officials in the former administration. They stressed that some of these tangibles programmed convinced them to massively vote for President Bio and his SLPP.
Our pollster ratings are based on a metric called Predictive Plus-Minus. This metric is based on several key factors of tribes voting SLPP, including:
1. Southern and Eastern Provinces. Of noble tribe’s Mendes (95%) will vote SLPP, (5%) margin of error
2. Temne in the North Temne (75%) will vote SLPP
3. Limba, also in the Northern Province Limba (60%) will vote SLPP
4. Fuller (60%) will vote SLPP
5. Kono, the Eastern Province Kono (85% ) will vote SLPP
6. Kuranko (80%) will vote SLPP
7. Kissi (85% will vote SLPP
8. Krio (75%) Freetownian, Rural & Urban Westerns Freetown, will vote SLPP
9. lLoko ( 75%) will vote SLPP
10. Yunlunka (65%) will vote SLPP
11. Shebro (90%) will vote SLPP
12. Kroo (75%) will vote SLPP
13. Vai (95%) will vote SLPP
14. Krim (85%) will vote SLPP
15. Mandingo (85%) will vote SLPP
16. Susu (75%) will vote SLPP.
Sierra Leone’s democracy needs reconfiguration to elect the next President either from Sierra Leone People’s Party or All People’s Congress, the two dominant political parties that have convulsed and polarized the political laboratory a seed nursed at the eve of independence.
The June 24 multitier elections will soon come and pass but the onus is on the electorates to vote for the right Presidential candidate that will catapult the nation from its prior deplorable state of thirty-four (34) years of APC misguided rules.
Sierra Leoneans should endeavor to vote for a visionary and pragmatic President between President Julius Maada Bio and APC’s Dr. Samura Kamara devoid of sentiment of court and the pending anti-corruption cases, considering the ethnicity, and regionalism fractions the APC has shown broad day light in their recently concluded national convention held in Makeni.
This national survey figure was done through community engagements, community sample questions, and telephone calls. Being that the general election is fast approaching and there is the likelihood that political bigotry, rhetoric, national developments, and antics can be the answer to State House, the questions around corruption, cronyism, nepotism and favoritism, political divisiveness and polarization, wasteful spending, reckless mega projects, high level of unemployment and high cost of living and above all human rights, that the APC is peddling within this small and once anther of Africa.
Calculation of measures, of statistical bias, were included in the polls margin errors. We talked to younger voters all over the country who said “We have the power, this time, to keep SLPP in power for donkey years. Their love and proving national decency in politics and developments we are seeing all over the country, for the first time in mama Salone, we have the privilege to witness! “Another younger voter we spoke to us expressed his frustration, saying “My entire family has been voting for APC. We have vowed that APC is not good for themselves and is not good for this country. They are bunch of haters, criminals, and crooks, that have destroyed this once anther of West Africa “.
Prepared by:
Design, development, research, visual editing, and statistical model, and edited by Pastor/ Dr. Joseph Bangura Founder & CEO of Joseph Initiative Foundation/ Harvest International Ministries USA & in partnership with Mr. Ibrahim P. Sherriff – CEO of Sherix television broadcasting based in Houston, Texas, USA.